| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Northwestern State | 80-6 | 1551.8 | +30.3 | 1582.1 | 99.4% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | LSU | 14-45 | 1582.1 | -111.2 | 1470.9 | 12.5% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Baylor | 19-36 | 1470.9 | +7.5 | 1478.4 | 27.2% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Army | 31-29 | 1484.0 | +48.4 | 1532.5 | 35.2% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Louisiana | 32-31 | 1532.5 | -5.0 | 1527.4 | 57.9% |